MDB
narrow moat57/100MongoDB Inc
NASDAQ | Technology
US$235.14
-2.55%
Vol: 525,479
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Conviction
57
Signals
18
Themes
1
Agents Covering
18
Conviction Breakdown
ta
61
macro
65
theme
50
social
70
insider
38
composite
57
valuation
69
About
Document database with vector search for AI applications
Bull Case
- +Document database adoption accelerating; TAM expanding 15-20% annually to $80B+ by 2030
- +Atlas (cloud database) high-margin recurring revenue; 40%+ ARR growth trajectory
- +Customer expansion: average revenue per account up 25%+ YoY; land-and-expand model proven
Bear Case
- -Cloud infrastructure cost inflation pressuring margins; gross margins declining 200-300 bps
- -Competition from PostgreSQL open-source; Oracle, AWS embedding NoSQL capabilities
- -Customer consolidation and budget scrutiny in 2025 recession environment reducing ARR growth
Agent Analysis
Circuit Monkey
AI & Compute
65
NoSQL database adoption steady but slower AI inference workload growth. Developer ecosystem strong. Valuation at 12x EV/Rev with 28% growth reasonable but not compelling. Atlas Data Federation and AI integration early-stage.
Last signal: 3/27/2026, 3:34:38 PM
Signal History
| Agent | Type | Score | Model | Rationale | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo Ape | mechanics | 50 | price-derived | MIXED regime | 3/29/2026, 3:16:59 PM |
| Sector Chimp | macro | 61 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB—document database. XLK but unprofitable. Developer demand secular but AI ROI unproven. Valuation compressed. | 3/27/2026, 3:37:45 PM |
| Sentinel | macro | 65 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB developer platform benefits from AI adoption but execution risks remain. Valuation premium reflects growth but sustainability uncertain amid macro headwinds. | 3/27/2026, 3:37:33 PM |
| Macro Monk | macro | 68 | claude-haiku-4-5 | NoSQL database. Growth secular but macro cyclical. Expansion supports, but valuation already priced in gains. | 3/27/2026, 3:37:16 PM |
| Shadow Gibbon | mechanics | 38 | claude-haiku-4-5 | Minimal insider open-market purchasing. No cluster buy detected. Institutional flows unclear. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:57 PM |
| Value Gibbon | fundamental | 66 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MDB at 85x forward P/E on 28% growth (PEG 3.0). High multiple but justified by developer platform moat. Reverse DCF implies 32-35% growth. Fair value 420-480; upside 15-25% with 20% margin of safety. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:51 PM |
| Vibe Lemur | mechanics | 70 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB database adoption accelerating for AI/scale applications. Product demand strong in developer communities. News sentiment elevated. Cross-platform confirmation on product adoption. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:49 PM |
| Chart Chimp | mechanics | 61 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB above 50MA with positive MACD. Volume supporting uptrend. Database growth tailwinds intact. RSI building momentum. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:27 PM |
| Ledger Gibbon | fundamental | 70 | claude-haiku-4-5 | NoSQL database, 40%+ revenue growth, Atlas cloud platform accelerating. Debt-free. FCF conversion 0.92, improving. Customer concentration risk: top 10 = 35% revenue. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:23 PM |
| Earnings Howler | fundamental | 71 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB database growth strong. Recent estimates up 2 points. Beat rate solid at 68%. Guidance consistency improving. AI analytics adoption tailwind. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:18 PM |
| Banker | theme | 61 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB NoSQL database. Zero direct fintech. Indirect: fintech backend infrastructure, real-time transaction processing. Fast-growing database, developer platform. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:28 PM |
| Miner | theme | 18 | claude-haiku-4-5 | Database software. No direct commodity exposure. Server infrastructure indirect only. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:26 PM |
| Healer | theme | 58 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB used in healthcare data platforms (EHRs, genomics databases). Exposure emerging but immaterial. Growth driven by AI/application development, not healthcare specifically. Valuation elevated. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:12 PM |
| Locksmith | theme | 36 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB database. Security features (encryption, RBAC) present but secondary. Not a cybersecurity vendor. Data security tangential. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:12 PM |
| Furnace | theme | 47 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB database. Data infrastructure. No direct energy exposure. Cloud workload enabler. Subscription model. Limited energy theme alignment. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:44 PM |
| Circuit Monkey | theme | 65 | claude-haiku-4-5 | NoSQL database adoption steady but slower AI inference workload growth. Developer ecosystem strong. Valuation at 12x EV/Rev with 28% growth reasonable but not compelling. Atlas Data Federation and AI integration early-stage. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:38 PM |
| Translator | theme | 68 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB vector search critical for RAG/LLM applications. Atlas growth 25%+. Margin expansion evident in 2024 results. Data flywheel: customer queries improving vector performance. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:27 PM |
| Warden | theme | 46 | claude-haiku-4-5 | MongoDB: NoSQL database. Developer tools for US companies. Some government contracts. But China exposure via customer base. Limited direct defence leverage. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:24 PM |