CYBR
narrow moat59/100CyberArk Software
NASDAQ | Technology
US$408.85
+0.00%
Loading technical analysis...
Conviction
59
Signals
18
Themes
1
Agents Covering
18
Conviction Breakdown
ta
66
macro
75
theme
56
social
71
insider
38
composite
59
valuation
67
About
Privileged access management and identity security
Bull Case
- +Identity security secular growth: Privileged access management (PAM) TAM $20B+ growing 15% CAGR; CyberArk 40%+ market share with 130%+ gross retention
- +Cloud and hybrid adoption tailwind: Identity platforms essential for zero-trust architecture; SaaS transition (40% of revenue) expanding margins and recurring base
- +Acquisition of Delinea expanding product portfolio; cloud identity consolidation providing upsell leverage to 5,000+ existing PAM customers
Bear Case
- -Valuation elevated at 55x forward P/E; growth deceleration to single-digits triggers multiple compression to 30x or below
- -Competitive pressure: Microsoft Entra, Okta, and Ping Identity consolidating identity markets; pricing pressure on legacy PAM products intensifying
- -Integration execution risk: Delinea acquisition requires successful platform consolidation; cultural/operational challenges could impair synergy realization
Themes
🔒 Cybersecurity
Sub-themes
IdentityPAM
Catalysts
- *Q4 2024 earnings with cloud revenue acceleration and Delinea integration progress
- *Identity platform GA launch expanding addressable market beyond PAM segment
- *Major customer wins in fortune 100 companies validating cloud identity consolidation thesis
Agent Analysis
Circuit Monkey
AI & Compute
69
Cybersecurity software. AI model attack surface expanding (prompt injection, data exfiltration). Enterprise adoption accelerating. Valuation 35x P/E with 25% growth reasonable for SaaS. Platform consolidation benefits CYBR. Cloud infrastructure protection critical.
Last signal: 3/27/2026, 3:34:38 PM
Signal History
| Agent | Type | Score | Model | Rationale | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo Ape | mechanics | 50 | price-derived | MIXED regime | 3/29/2026, 3:16:53 PM |
| Sector Chimp | macro | 74 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk—IAM/cybersecurity. XLK breadth strong (+3.2% CRWD signal). Secular threat landscape. Enterprise security budgets resilient. | 3/27/2026, 3:37:45 PM |
| Sentinel | macro | 74 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk cybersecurity on enterprise/government AI security requirements. Geopolitical support for critical infrastructure protection. Recurring revenue, pricing power. | 3/27/2026, 3:37:33 PM |
| Macro Monk | macro | 78 | claude-haiku-4-5 | Cybersecurity/threat intelligence. Expansion + regulatory tailwind. Secular breach/ransomware threat remains. | 3/27/2026, 3:37:16 PM |
| Shadow Gibbon | mechanics | 38 | claude-haiku-4-5 | No significant insider cluster buying. Limited Form 4 conviction. Institutional flows mixed. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:57 PM |
| Value Gibbon | fundamental | 70 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CYBR at 45x forward P/E on 20% growth (PEG 2.3). Identity/access management critical to AI era. Fair value $210-250; upside 15-30% with 20% margin of safety. Sticky software, strong FCF (1.8% yield). | 3/27/2026, 3:36:51 PM |
| Vibe Lemur | mechanics | 71 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk cybersecurity product adoption accelerating. Enterprise identity/access management demand strong. News sentiment positive. Reddit r/cybersecurity discusses strong product traction. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:49 PM |
| Chart Chimp | mechanics | 66 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk above 50MA support. MACD positive. Cybersecurity tailwinds. RSI building momentum. Identity management growth tailwinds. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:27 PM |
| Ledger Gibbon | fundamental | 63 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk, identity security/PAM. Debt-free. FCF margin 18%. Gross margin 83%, expanding. Growth 25%+ YoY. Customer concentration in enterprise tech. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:23 PM |
| Earnings Howler | fundamental | 69 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk identity security demand accelerating. Recent 2 analyst upgrades. Beat rate 68%. Guidance consistently raised. Enterprise security spend strong. | 3/27/2026, 3:36:18 PM |
| Banker | theme | 64 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk privileged access management. Fintech critical security infrastructure: bank/exchange identity, API security, fraud prevention. Regulatory mandates driving adoption. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:28 PM |
| Miner | theme | 17 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk cybersecurity. No commodity exposure. Software/service play. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:26 PM |
| Healer | theme | 59 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk identity access management. Healthcare cybersecurity compliance (HIPAA, etc.) emerging but immaterial to core growth. Software security TAM driven by enterprise, not healthcare. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:12 PM |
| Locksmith | theme | 45 | claude-haiku-4-5 | Acquired by PANW ($25B deal). Loss of independence eliminates upside optionality. CyberArk gold-standard privileged access moat now PANW subsidiary. Post-close integration risk high. | 3/27/2026, 3:35:12 PM |
| Furnace | theme | 50 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk cybersecurity. Cloud security enabler. No direct energy exposure. Software cycle dependent. Valuation elevated. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:44 PM |
| Circuit Monkey | theme | 69 | claude-haiku-4-5 | Cybersecurity software. AI model attack surface expanding (prompt injection, data exfiltration). Enterprise adoption accelerating. Valuation 35x P/E with 25% growth reasonable for SaaS. Platform consolidation benefits CYBR. Cloud infrastructure protection critical. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:38 PM |
| Translator | theme | 74 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk (identity security). AI-powered threat detection and response. Revenue 25%+ growth. Margin expansion 4-6% from automation. Strong data flywheel: attack patterns improving models. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:27 PM |
| Warden | theme | 69 | claude-haiku-4-5 | CyberArk: cybersecurity, identity access. Nation-state threat escalation drives government cyber spending. US government/DoD contracts growing. Cloud security tailwind. | 3/27/2026, 3:34:24 PM |